
Former Lagos governorship candidate Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour has said President Bola Tinubu may struggle to secure a second term in 2027, citing what he described as shifting political sentiment and internal tensions across the country.
Speaking during a television interview, Rhodes-Vivour claimed that emerging polling data suggest the president faces a difficult path to re-election. According to him, dissatisfaction in key regions, particularly in northern Nigeria, where Tinubu secured significant support in the 2023 election, could reshape the political landscape ahead of the next vote.
He also criticised the current administration, alleging that governance has been skewed toward a narrow circle of allies rather than broadly benefiting Nigerians. The remarks reflect growing opposition rhetoric as political actors begin to position themselves ahead of the 2027 general elections.
Beyond electoral projections, Rhodes-Vivour accused the administration of creating conditions that could weaken opposition participation. He alleged that internal crises affecting opposition parties may not be entirely organic, suggesting they could indirectly favour the ruling party.
The comments come amid broader political tensions, including protests by members of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) at the headquarters of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) in Abuja. The protest followed disputes around party leadership recognition, further highlighting instability within opposition ranks.

At the same event, former Rivers State governor Rotimi Amaechi also criticised the administration, urging voters to reject the ruling party in future elections. Such statements underscore a growing alignment among opposition figures seeking to challenge the dominance of the All Progressives Congress (APC).
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The presidency has, however, rejected the allegations, insisting that Nigeria’s democratic space remains open and competitive. Presidential spokesperson Sunday Dare said there was no plan to sideline opposition parties or limit participation in future elections.
He emphasised that multiple political parties remain registered and free to field candidates, adding that the ruling APC would not interfere in the internal affairs of rival parties.
Dare also framed the opposition’s challenges as self-inflicted, arguing that internal divisions, not government interference, are responsible for their current struggles.

While the exchange highlights early political manoeuvring ahead of 2027, it also reflects deeper questions about voter sentiment, party cohesion, and the evolving balance of power in Nigeria’s democracy.
As campaigning narratives begin to take shape, both the ruling party and opposition figures appear set for a prolonged contest, not just at the ballot box, but in the battle to define public perception.